Following an exhilarating and pivotal round of elections, liberal democratic parties in Europe have successfully held off the rise of nationalist populism so far. But the battle is ongoing, and the upcoming US presidential election looms with the potential to send ripples through European politics, raising the stakes even higher.
In Europe, the alliance of mainstream parties that has been working to keep illiberal forces in check is now facing its own set of challenges. Disagreements on critical issues such as supporting Ukraine against Russia and the direction of the European Union have created rifts. Furthermore, some conservative parties are distancing themselves from more radical nativist groups.
In a powerful display of unity, a coalition of conservatives, socialists, liberals, and Greens came together to ensure Ursula von der Leyen’s reelection as European Commission president in July. Yet, challenges lie ahead as Von der Leyen endeavors to push forward new legislation to bolster the crucial aspects of the European green deal.
The situation in France serves as a prime example of how the ascent of far-right populism can disrupt the political landscape. A year ago, a gridlock in the National Assembly weakened the government, signaling a victory for those who oppose populist policies.
Meanwhile, far-right nationalist groups are gaining ground in national politics in countries like the Netherlands, Slovakia, and the UK. The upcoming elections in Germany are also being closely watched as an important barometer of the political climate in Europe.
It is undeniable that the outcome of the US election will have a profound impact on European politics. A win for Donald Trump could give European nationalists a boost, while a victory for Kamala Harris could strengthen the fight against far-right ideologies.
Ultimately, the ability of mainstream parties to address the underlying issues that have driven voters toward populism will be crucial in safeguarding Europe against far-right threats.
In providing astute and thought-provoking insights into the current political landscape and potential shifts on the horizon, Paul Taylor, a senior visiting fellow at the European Policy Centre, offers a valuable perspective.
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